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01What you are doing

Crypto Predictions (the Global Action Desk) is a real-money market. You answer a simple question about Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP: will the price be above a set level when the clock runs out?

• Up means you think it finishes strictly above that level. The ticket button for this side is YES.
• Down means you think it finishes at or below that level. The ticket button for this side is NO.
• Live clocks today are 15 min and hourly. A new window starts when the last one ends. daily and longer windows are not open right now.
• An hourly market has one line: the nearest round price near spot when that market is listed. A 15-minute market has one line: the price set when that window is listed on-chain (near open). Pick whether you think the coin finishes above that level or not.

You pay in USDC. If you are right, each contract you hold pays $1.00 USDC. If you are wrong, that USDC is lost.

02How a prediction works

1. 1
   Sign in or create an account. We create a Solana wallet for you, ready for USDC.
2. 2
   Open Add USDC from the wallet menu to buy with Coinbase or Banxa when offered, or copy your Solana address and send USDC from an exchange or wallet. Only Solana (SPL) USDC is supported. USDC sent through other networks may be permanently lost. The balance shows on its own — then you can start.
3. 3
   Open a market from the board (for example Bitcoin, next hour).
4. 4
   On the ticket, pick Buy or Sell, then YES or NO. YES is Up; NO is Down.
5. 5
   Enter how many contracts you want and a limit price. A limit at the live price fills now. A better price waits as an open order. The ticket shows estimated cost, the fee, and payout if you are right.
6. 6
   Confirm. You cannot hold both Up and Down in the same market — sell one side first.

A cheaper side pays more if it wins, because you get more contracts for the same USDC. You can buy either side from the pool.

Your fills and settlements also show on Prediction history. Trades read Bought Up or Bought Down. If nobody took the other side, the row reads Returned.

04What the % on the card means

The number on the Predictions board (for example 1% or 21%) is the current price of Up. It is not a guaranteed chance of winning.

• The board updates from the live coin price as time runs out. If the coin is far from the line with only a minute or two left, Up can show as low as 1%.
• Inside the market, YES and NO are the prices you can actually trade. Those can look different from the board if the book has not caught up yet.
• Each window has its own line to beat. The market that is ending now is not the same as the one that opens next. The strike and the % will not match.

05How you get paid

You were right

$1.00 USDC per contract — only if both Up and Down still have holders. That comes from the market pool (both sides plus the house seed), not from a cap on what the other side put in. Usually paid automatically about a minute after the window ends. Use Claim only if it is not already in your balance.

You sell before the end

You get the current price of your side in USDC, right away.

The market is called off

If nobody takes the other side, you get your USDC back (what those contracts cost you). The ticket fee stays with us. Not a $1 win.

The live chart is a guide. The official published price at settlement time is what counts. At or below the line is Down; only strictly above is Up.

06How much you can trade

Every order must stay between 1 and 100 USDC. You can place more than one order. A small platform fee is shown on the ticket before you confirm.

Smallest order

1 USDC

Largest single order

100 USDC

All trades in one session

5,000 USDC

Session length

About 8 hours

The first trade asks you to enable trading once. Later clicks skip the wallet popup until the session ends or you hit 5,000 USDC. Then you approve again. The session does not move money by itself — you still need USDC in the wallet for each order. You do not need SOL to trade; we pay the network fee.

07Selling, claiming, and cash out

• A limit at the current price fills now. A better price waits as an open order. You can replace or cancel an open order if it has not filled.
• If an open order is still waiting when the window locks, it is cancelled for you. That USDC never left your wallet.
• Trading stops shortly before each window ends so the result can be locked in.
• Use Cash out whenever you want to send USDC back to another address. You do not need SOL for that send. If the destination is new, send at least 1 USDC.